SP500 - λF Dashboard
Tracking the Collective Awareness Field of Global Markets
Latest Alert
Latest λF
Latest PGI
Latest Reflective Flow
Flow is reallocating toward lower resistance structures.
Reflective Flow · Timeline
Read-only observation. No signals, no forecasts.
Decay Module
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Historical Data Log
| Time (UTC) | λF | PGI | VOL_Z | RF State |
|---|
Alert History
PHASE 2
State regime tracking active since 2026-02-09
PHASE 2 tracks persistent market regimes rather than individual signals, focusing on structural conditions over time.
Last 48 Hours
| TIME | STATE | λF | SLOPE | ZONE | CONFIDENCE | REGIME |
|---|
Preliminary External Validation — SPX λF
A preliminary external validation study of the SPX branch of the λF model suggests that its
predictive value is concentrated in the 48–72 hour horizon rather than in immediate same-day stress
detection. Using independently defined external stress events based on realized volatility
expansion, drawdown behavior, VIX shock structure, and Treasury yield shock dynamics, SPX λF
produced modest lift at 24 hours but materially stronger lift at 48 and 72 hours. A finer
decomposition further indicated that predictive strength is not uniform across alert types:
minor + lev_stress-dominant alerts appear to behave as an early macro-pressure
regime, while critical + fng-dominant alerts generated the strongest short-horizon
signal, including the highest observed lift at 48 hours. Although the current sample remains
limited, these results support the interpretation that SPX λF is not a single homogeneous indicator
but a structured stress field whose informational value increases when alert level and dominant
component are evaluated jointly.
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