Status Card — V5

The December 2025 evaluation marks the first full cross-asset validation of the Flux Finance v2.0 architecture, covering Crypto (BTC, ETH, SOL),Gold (XAUUSD), and S&P 500 (SPX) under a unified motion-and-presence framework.

Rather than treating markets as isolated price series, Flux Finance models each domain as a distinct expression of the Presence Field, where λF captures structural tension and PGI (Presence Gradient Index) measures the acceleration of collective awareness.

Crypto Domain — Kinetic Risk & Directional Stress

Across BTC, ETH, and SOL, the λF engine demonstrated consistently high precision in detecting significant directional movements (|Move| ≥ 2σ), achieving approximately 92–95% accuracy with a median lead-time ranging from 21 to 26 hours.

These results confirm that, in crypto markets, Flux Finance operates primarily as a kinetic stress and directional-risk detector, identifying latent motion before price expansion becomes visible.

Gold (XAUUSD) — Volatility Regime Transitions

In contrast to crypto, gold exhibited a strongly threshold-based behavior. During December 2025, Flux Finance achieved over 95% precision in identifying Volatility ≥ p95 regimes, with a notably short median lead-time of approximately 8 hours.

This confirms gold’s role as a macro-stress and regime-transition asset, where Flux Finance functions as an early-warning system for portfolio-level and systemic risk rather than directional price forecasting.

S&P 500 (SPX) — Systemic Awareness & Presence

December 2025 represents the first full evaluative milestone for SPX within Flux Finance. Most notably, the Presence Gradient Index (PGI) reached 0.542, marking the first recorded instance of PGI exceeding the 0.5 awareness threshold.

This level indicates a transition from purely reactive market behavior toward systemic self-awareness, where accumulated stress is not only present but increasingly recognized within the market structure itself.

In this domain, λF captures structural tension, while PGI reveals the acceleration of collective awareness, positioning SPX as the clearest representation of a conscious market system.