Status Card — V1
August 2025 · Cross-Asset Continuity Report
Results Summary (n=50)
- 🎯 2σ move hit rate: 86% (43/50)
- ⚡ Funding shock hit rate: 90% (45/50)
- 📉 OI flush hit rate: 2% (1/50)
- ⏱️ Median lead-time: 27h
- Critical: 28h
- Minor: 21h
Note: The model captures sharp short-term moves with high accuracy. “Realized vol ≥
p95” has not been triggered yet; calibration will be revisited after 100+ evaluated alerts.